🏆 2026 FIFA World Cup
Match analysis · Group stage · Jun 11–27 · Rankings-based model
⚠️ Rankings-based Elo model (α=0.15) blended 85% with market consensus(de-vig odds). Longshot matchups show no grade when model confidence is too low. No lineups, injuries, or form data; S/D0 constants unvalidated on WC data. Treat as one input, not a recommendation. Group stage, 90-minute result. 21+.
Group stage only (Jun 11–27). Knockout rounds have different draw rules (extra time / penalties) — not modeled.
Knockout rounds: h2h odds quoted on 90-minute result. Matches going to extra time settle on the 90-minute score.